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Colts vs. Titans Player Prop Bets; Can we keep printing money?

Colts vs. Titans Player Prop Bets; Can we keep printing money?

This season, SB Nation has partnered with FanDuel to bring you a variety of sports betting articles and opinions through the FanDuel platform. Last season I offered three play prop/off-market options and picked one I would bet on at the end of the article. This season we’ll focus solely on the ever-growing player prop markets, providing insight and analysis on three picks I like and ultimately picking one to bet $50 on. As the season progresses we will track the wins and losses of my last pick and see if we can finish with a win.

The Colts are on the road this week, traveling to Tennessee to play their division rival Titans. The Colts are currently the favorite by 1.5 points.

Player Prop 1: Will Levis over 0.5 interceptions (-114)

Will Levis is bad. The Colts secondary is poor. Levis has thrown an interception in every game this season, including the game in which he had four pass attempts. He’s always good for a stupid throw and the secondary is bad enough to allow some big plays, but they’ve thrown three interceptions in 5 games and played some decent offense.

Player support 2: Alec Pierce for 31.5 yards

This is the forecast line based on industry averages

With a line about 31.5 yards, Pierce only needs one play to hit it. He has a proven record of success with both Richardson and Flacco, although slightly more so with Richardson. Nonetheless, he should get some deep looks in this game, so it’s a good bet to expect him to score big. He can escape quarterback coverage and you can’t pressure him. Therefore, he has become a difficult guy to target at the moment, which leads to his consistent success.

Player support 3: Michael Pittman under 4.5 receptions

This is the forecast line based on industry averages

If Pittman decides to play and FanDuel decides to publish his lines, that’s great value. Pittman is injured and with Richardson potentially returning, it could be a bad game for Pittman as he won’t be at 100% and won’t score. When he goes up against L’Jarius Sneed, it becomes that much more difficult to get five or more catches.

My pick: Will Levis over 0.5 interceptions (-114)

While the other two may be more attractive bets, I’m going to bet on Will Levis to do poorly, which is a pretty good bet most weeks. Hopefully the Colts’ poor secondary doesn’t make him look like John Elway.

We won our bet last week (downs over 4.5 catches), which puts us at 3-2 on the year, and we have that too up to $25 up to 4 weeks.