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Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution Bet Builder Stats and Predictions – Breaking The Lines

Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution Bet Builder Stats and Predictions – Breaking The Lines

Columbus Crew vs. New England Revolution

Start: Sunday, October 13th, 12:30 a.m

Competition: MLS

Watch Live: AppleTV

MLS rages on despite the international break, with Columbus Crew taking on the New England Revolution as the home team looks to build momentum ahead of the play-offs.

Lionel Messi’s Inter Miami have proven unassailable at the top of the table and have already won the Supporters’ Shield for the best record of the regular season, but Columbus has secured second place with two games to go.

New England, on the other hand, is playing the season purely for pride. The Revs are trying to avoid last place and can do so with an unlikely road win.

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Game Stats: Columbus wins a high-scoring affair

Columbus is priced at just 1.33 to claim victory in this encounter and considering they have most of their key players available for this encounter, they should be looking for value for money, to achieve victory.

They have a run of games in which they have won three out of five, with the last game seeing them beat the Philadelphia Union 3-2 in a thriller. In fact, Columbus’ recent games have all been full of goals. A total of 21 goals were scored in the last four games, each of which contributed at least four to this tally.

Even in their recent loss to Inter Miami, Columbus actually posted a greater xG than their opponents (1.9-1.2).

They are an attack-minded team and the fact that they are in second place in the Eastern Conference will likely only underline that fact as they can play with freedom. It is noteworthy that top scorer Cucho Hernandez is on international duty.

Although they have conceded just 38 goals this season, ten of them have come in their last four games and with their two best goalkeepers and regular defender Mohamed Farsi on the international break, they will be vulnerable at the back in this game too.

Meanwhile, New England conceded a lot of goals. They have conceded at least two goals in their last eight MLS games. They have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three away games.

Unsurprisingly, this means the Revs are far from in brilliant shape. In fact, they have lost three of their last four games and each of their last three on the road.

This record and the fact that Columbus won the last meeting between these clubs in the Boston area 5-1 suggests that another home win and a significant goal tally are on the horizon.

Forecast:

Columbus @ 1.33

Over 3.5 goals at 2.0

BTTS at 1.57

Shooting Stats: Rossi carries the Crew, Vrioni threatens for the Revs

Cucho Columbus dominates in shooting. The 25-year-old Colombian has taken a staggering 125 shots this season, at a staggering 5.48 per 90 minutes. Who would be able to lead the way for the home team without this pioneer?

Diego Rossi is the likely answer. What he lacks in shot volume, he almost makes up for in accuracy, with 45% of his shots hitting the target. In the last 22 MLS games he has played, he has beaten the opposing goalkeeper 18 times – an impressive strike rate of 81.8% of the games in which he found the net. He also scored in the last game against New England when he took four shots, two of which were on goal.

Christian Ramirez is the other name to look out for. He has had at least two shots in five of the six games he has started at center forward this season and has found the target at least once in the same number of games. With a value of 1.22 he is an option for betting, but it is important to remember that he has only had multiple shots on goal in four games this season.

A curiosity from the last game was that central defenders Steven Moreira and Rudy Camacho each managed a shot on goal. They have five between them this season, and with the former priced at 3.75 to repeat the trick, there isn’t enough value to support a repeat.

Giacomo Vrioni clearly represents the greatest danger for the guests. He has 3.29 shots per 90 shots this season, 1.32 of which hit the target. In the last meeting between the two clubs he scored six attempts, half of which reached the frame. With a goalscoring average of 1.57, he appears to be a good value, having managed a shot on goal in 10 of his last 13 MLS away games.

Predictions:

Christian Ramirez has 3 or more shots at 1.4

Giacomo Vrioni has 3 or more shots at 2.0

Giacomo Vrioni has 1 or more shots on goal at 1.57

Foul statistics: Polster and Nagbe in the midfield battle

Columbus and New England are among the cleanest teams in MLS, so it would be surprising if there were a high card count in this game.

For example, the crew only received 47 cards this season. That’s five fewer than any other team, although they are among the league leaders in this regard with five red cards. New England received 68 cards, including four reds.

This low number of cards is reflected in a low number of fouls at both clubs. Columbus are particularly clean. They have only allowed 267 fouls this season. The next best MLS team in this regard is LA Galaxy with 310 – almost 20% more.

On the other hand, Columbus has the most fouls in the entire league with 433 – 13.5 per game. They draw the eighth most cards from their opponents, suggesting that a price of 1.83 for New England to receive the most cards is a strong value.

Columbus has the best foul winners at its disposal in Darlington Nagbe and Rossi, which is another indication that New England has a difficult game from a disciplinary perspective.

Nagbe will face Matt Polster and Mark-Anthony Kaye, who average 1.81 and 1.79 fouls, respectively. With a price of 1.73 for committing two or more fouls, they arguably represent the best value in the fouls market.

From Columbus’ perspective, it’s likely that central midfielders Nagbe and Dylan Chambost will commit more fouls than usual when facing Carles Gil, who wins 2.17 fouls per 90. Nagbe has a respectable odds of 4.33 for committing two or more fouls and Chambost has a odds of 4.5, with the pair having 1.67 and 1.73 for committing one or more fouls respectively.

Nagbe has committed a foul in four of his last seven games and appears to be the stronger choice compared to the more offensive Chambost.

Predictions:

Matt Polster commits 2 or more fouls at 1.81

Darlington Nagbe commits 1 or more fouls at 1.67

By: @AndysBetClubUK

Featured Image: @GabFoligno / Emilee Chinn / Getty Images

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